I expect you have heard of 'Moore's Law'
Round and round we go. Let me quote myself from an earlier already boring turn on the superlative carousel:Despite the palpable brittleness, the incessant crashes, the unnavigable junk manifested by actual as against idealized software, despite Lanier's Law that "software inefficiency and inelegance will always expand to the level made tolerable by Moore's Law," despite the fact that Moore's Law may be broken on its own terms either on engineering grounds or in its economic assumptions, many Singularitarians still seem to rely on a range of imbecilic to baroque variations on the faith that Moore's Law amounts to a rocket ship humanity is riding to Heaven. Others have shifted their focus these days to the nanoscale, but they still seem to find Destiny where scientific consensus sees a mountain range of problems demanding qualifications and care.
I do not believe anything we have learned about the brain rules out the possiblity of one day building machines who think.
First, It's commonplace for the faith-based to pretend that their inability to imagine a disproof constitutes a proof of whatever extraordinary claims they're personally invested in. Second, I don't trust that you all know what you are talking about when you say "who think." There is much more to the "thinking who" than is dreamed of in your philosophy. (And, no, I'm not talking about a mystical "soul.")
past efforts at AI failed: They lacked power
Reductive instrumentalization of reason? Check. Thinking all you need is a bigger and bigger and bigger hammer to arrive at your wish-fulfillment fantasies? Check. Dumb boys with toys who think they're the smartest guys in the room without actually grasping even the most basic things about intelligence, emotion, sociality, or practicality in the actual world? Check.
"JimF" asks a question: So you think you **are**, in some sense, your Second Life persona, eh?
"Extropia" answers: As a first approximation, yes
No, you're not. Really, hon, you're not. Your life is not your "Second Life." You're also not a photograph taken of you. Not even if it's from Glamour Shots. You're not a brain scan of you. Nor would you be an "upload" of you. (Cue Soup Nazi voice) No robo-immortalization for you!
Using Technology to Deepen Democracy, Using Democracy to Ensure Technology Benefits Us All
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
No Pony for You!
I'm a bit preoccupied with teaching for a couple of days, so I may be blog-fluffing more than blog-posting today and tomorrow. Of course, it's easy enough to get you something to chew on, just dredging up exchanges from still-ongoing Moots that most of you will have long-since stopped scrolling back down to. Here is my latest response to dead-end Robot Cultist "Extropia" from earlier this morning, for instance: