1 One of the many annoying argumentative tics in futurological discourse is the one I tend to think of as The Utopium Conceit…
2 in which a diversity of qualified lab results are reduced into A Single Thing -- some phenomenon, material, technique, imagined device --
3 that is applied in turn to Everything, and invested with a profitable and prophetic force That! Will! Change! Everything!
4 It can be, say, plastic, carbon nanotubes, fungus (as eco-remediator, building material, vegetarian foodstuff, terraforming agent)...
5 or nuclear fission, car culture, digital computation and simulation, Drexler's imaginary "nanotechnology" or its gawky cousin 3D-printing.
6 It's easy to see the appeal of The Utopium Conceit. Reduction of qualified, diverse dynamisms into one thing then deliriously amplified...
7 First, this futurological conceit accommodates the real but fraught and complex promise of technoscientific change for common good…
8 …to wealth concentration and status quo amplification by marketing it for parochial short-term profit-taking; and
9 Second, it accommodates the real but fraught and complex demands of technoscientific change for public deliberation…
10 …to mass technoscientific illiteracy through facile simplifications and recourse to drama (whether wish-fulfilling or disasterbatory).
11 Note, in connection with such misinformation, how a minimization or outright disavowal of historical, political, cultural contingencies…
12 …shaping, regulating, and distributing technoscientific progress usually enables The Utopium Conceit as futurological strategy.
13 It is of course precisely because collective problem-solving through technoscientific discovery can be so inspiring and promising…
14…that futurology's deceptive simplifications of slow and difficult struggles, hyperbolic and hence deranging distortion of results…
15 appeal to irrational passions (greed paranoia), skewing of budgetary priorities, denigration of political contexts of progressive change…
16 should be abhorred by all those who would be genuine champions of science education, research, fact-based harm-reduction public policy…
17 and progressive struggles to distribute costs, risks & benefits of technoscience change equitably to the diversity of their stakeholders.