A new poll of the Ohio Senate race has Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) leading Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH) 48% to 34%. One poll in March had Brown up 41% to 29%. Another March poll had Brown ahead 52% to 38%. These leads of 14, 12, and 14 points, respectively, are all consistent with the fact that Renacci raised only $257,000 in the first quarter of 2018. He doesn't seem to be catching fire with either the donors or the voters and the recent poll is going to make it unlikely that big donors come to his rescue since there are other Senate races that look more promising for the GOP. In short, it looks like the GOP internal poll last week that had it "even" was not worth the paper it was written on, and that Brown is getting another term. This race could end up being important in 2020. Imagine that Brown wins by 12-14 points. Now imagine that the Democrats need a presidential candidate who can unify the Hillary and Bernie wings of the party. This unicorn would need to be a middle aged white man from the Midwest with progressive positions on almost everything and who gets along very well with the unions. Where would they find such a beast? Maybe by checking out the Ohio Senate delegation, especially if they could find a member who just won a smashing victory in a state Trump took by 8 points.I don't agree with analyses that declare so very "needed" a "middle aged white man from the Midwest" but I don't deny that such thinking will probably be loud and insistent before year's end and I certainly don't mind Sherrod Brown's comparatively "progressive positions on almost everything" and especially his union companionability, such as it is. It's looking like Harris/Brown or Booker/Brown for 2020, maybe, but it's early early early days. I daresay such a ticket would yield the fauxvolutionary cosplay left to reprise their divisive GOP-enabling 2016 howling and I would go in full of fear about the prospects for this ticket in the age of white-supremacy's desperate and dangerous last throes, but you better believe I'll fight like hell to stop Trump Republicanism and support all Dems everywhere and better Dems everywhere possible as long as possible.
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Saturday, June 02, 2018
Brown for VP?