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Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Never Mind the Gap?

"Enthusiasm Gap" Closing:
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll "shows that the battle for control of Congress has tightened, as key Democratic-leaning demographic groups are expressing more enthusiasm about the upcoming midterms." Among likely voters, Republicans now hold a three-point lead in the generic-ballot... down from their nine-point lead last month. Among registered voters are split evenly... The pollsters "attribute the tightening to increased enthusiasm for the upcoming midterms by African Americans (who saw a six-point gain in high interest) and Hispanics (who saw an 11-point gain). But young voters, who helped fuel Obama's presidential victory in 2008, are now sitting on the sidelines. Just 35 percent of those ages 18-34 are enthusiastic about the election in November, versus 65 percent of seniors who say that."

I wonder what proportion of that 35 percent of those ages 18-34 who remain enthusiastic are also African-American and Hispanic? My guess is that it is a higher proportion than is represented among the cohort of those whose public comments about an "enthusiasm gap" are widely read and discussed.

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