Using Technology to Deepen Democracy, Using Democracy to Ensure Technology Benefits Us All
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Eliminate outliers and outright liars (perennially skewed Rasmussens and such) and Obama is ahead by about five points even now, pretty much exactly as he always has been. Given the economy, you can't honestly expect much better than that. Now, shift your focus from electorally irrelevant national averages to actual viable pathways state by state and it is hard to find anything that plausibly puts Romney anywhere near the White House. He's stiff, unlikable, untrustworthy, out of touch, his negatives among women and people of color are through the roof (say hi to Seamus up there, Mitt), same as he ever was. Of course Presidential elections are never a sure thing, and I personally am more pleased than not to think that nervousness might nudge languorous Democrats into making sure they're actually registered and actually grasp that the difference between Democrats and Republicans is a difference that makes a difference and actually vote and all that sort of thing. But I think the recent Romney polling honeymoon is mostly an artifact of the mass media already reaching for the comfort of the horse race narrative they always prefer whatever reality looks like. As I have been saying for a year by now I don't see any benefit in taking things for granted, but I cannot say I am particularly worried about Obama. For me 2012 has been and remains all about reversing the perfectly predictable and predicted debacle of 2010, about retaining the Senate by the skin of our teeth and regaining the House -- and the Presidential matters mostly to the extent that its energy, its organizing, its coattails facilitate getting Democrats into Congress. Obama with this death-cult Republicanism in control of the Congress is a recipe for catastrophic paralysis. Sure, a Romney administration would lock patriarchal prick plutocracy into the Courts for the rest of our lives and bring on the muscular baby Jesus bloodbath, but I just don't rate that likely even though we should all work to ensure that doesn't happen either.